Changes in the lives of people around the world caused by measures to limit the spread of the will have an impact on the adoption and development of innovative technologies. Some of them will benefit from the pandemic, while others will face a decrease in interest. In early October, the British analytical company CCS Insight published its forecasts.
Influenced by the pandemic
In the second half of the year, analysts like to make forecasts for the future. They do not always come true, but this year, at least, the errors can be explained by the coronavirus epidemic, which will undoubtedly become one of the main factors influencing the prophecies this year. In early October.
CCS Insight analysts shared their vision of the future, they published a hundred forecasts regarding the development of the high-tech market for the coming years. The loudest of them is the prediction of a repurchase of Nokia by Microsoft. True, now the software giant, according to CSS Insight, will be interested in Nokia Networks. Here are ten CCS Insight predictions covering a wide range of aspects of the future of the IT sector.
1. Increasing use of surveillance technologies
The control over the movement of citizens, in order to limit the spread of the virus, will continue next year. It is expected that governments around the world will increase the use of various technical means, such as video surveillance, geolocation and some others, to track residents. The video surveillance market both in Russia and in the world has been developing quite well, but now it will have another powerful driver.
2. Augmented reality technologies will come to the industry
By 2025, more than half of medium and large enterprises in developed countries will implement augmented reality technologies that allow “overlaying” and showing objects of the virtual world (images, texts or 3D models) on top of the objects of the real world.
The growing penetration of these technologies into the industry will be the next step after the widespread introduction of video technologies. It is expected that more than half of medium and large enterprises by 2025 will start using solutions in this area.
3. Governments care about protecting the national telecom infrastructure
CCS Insight analysts predict that over the next three years, most countries will take measures to protect the national telecommunications infrastructure, the importance of the integrity, reliability and safety of which for the economy they were convinced during the pandemic.
So far, the most famous example of such a struggle “on a global scale” is the expulsion of the Chinese Huawei from the networks of American and European operators. But, perhaps, dashing trouble is the beginning.
4. Operators will start searching for secret 5G conspiracy theorists among employees
The example of pharmaceutical companies not hiring animal activists will be followed by telecommunications companies. They will get rid of employees who secretly believe that 5th generation cellular communication technologies can be harmful to people and the environment, and, of course, refuse job seekers with such views. Which is quite understandable – animal rights activists release experimental animals into the wild, opponents of “chipping through 5G networks” can cause a lot of harm to the above-mentioned telecom infrastructure.
5. Malware will also become self-learning
Information security officers need to be prepared for the fact that self-learning malware will pose a serious threat as early as 2024. The artificial intelligence underlying it will help attackers overcome defense systems built on less intelligent technologies. AI in the service of attackers, however, is already a common place.
6. Remote work is for a long time
CCS Insight predicts that more than half of office workers will continue to work primarily from home in 2022. This measure will allow a third of large companies to reduce their office rental costs by about 20%. You can add that not only for rent – some companies (VMware, Facebook, Twitter and many others) link the salary of remote employees to their place of residence. And service providers will offer companies customized work-from-home packages that separate corporate and personal use.
7. Online education will bring good results
The transition of education to online, analysts believe, will lead to the fact that already in 2023, startups led by young entrepreneurs (under 30 years old) will be able to develop such tools and solutions in the field of remote work that will successfully compete with the products of today’s technology leaders.
8. Investors will hunt for low-code platforms
In 2021, providers of platforms that allow people with little programming skills to develop software (low-code) will receive a lot of interesting proposals from large companies and from investors. And this is not surprising, in an environment where the labor market is shrinking, such tools will be in great demand by users who are looking for sources of income.
9. The popularity of the advertising model will decline.
Apple’s return to app tracking in 2021 will undermine its ad-funded business as users become aware of how some developers handle their personal data.
10. Movies and games
As early as 2025, a movie made using a video game engine could win the Academy Award for Best Picture. Both from a technological point of view (game engines are getting better, the gaming industry itself is becoming more powerful) and from an organizational point of view, engine developers are less likely to be involved in harassment and other sins of Hollywood than its old-timers.