Not only science fiction writers and film comic book authors are engaged in predicting the development of the world, but also authoritative analytical organizations. UK-based CCS Insight, which provides forecasts for technology markets to developers, network operators, semiconductor manufacturers and enterprise solution providers, recently unveiled its version of the future. The findings of analysts, each with 15 years of technology experience, are at times astounding. Delo.ua editors have selected twenty of the most interesting insights and forecasts for the near future.
As the prices of flagships rise, and in terms of technology (except for the constant improvement of cameras), nothing much changes, people on average update their phones every three years. This means that more service centers will be needed for minor repairs (replacing the battery, broken screen). By the way, this may also affect tariff plans: mobile operators may well include a relatively small surcharge in the tariff as a voluntary “insurance” for the subscriber.
The reasons here are simple: almost all manufacturers are preparing devices in 2020 with support for the new communication standard.
Today, artificial intelligence is still mistaken and can mistake an innocent person for a criminal. But the question is only in the allocation of computing power and the amount of data. When recognition systems have a more complete base, there will be fewer errors.
And it will be extremely relevant, given the number of defaces that almost every member of the Internet community can create using the AI capabilities available through the network. It’s not even about porn videos with celebrities, deep fakes are quite capable of becoming one of the weapons of propaganda. Think of “Generation P” by Viktor Peeving – now it’s much easier to create fake videos with politicians.
And yes, it will be a monopoly, and a very profitable one: the new standard is at least fashionable, although so far it is more interesting to industrialists who are striving to build smart factories.
the audience will stop growing. Therefore, the video service will have to invent interesting features. Perhaps the interactive film “Black Mirror: Bandashmyg” was the first sign of future content changes. In any case, users will only benefit from this. Interestingly, analysts predicted last year that the company would start building its own cinemas.
And this means that there will be no more “judge for soap”:
robots are infallible and are able to discern even the smallest violation. By the way, bookmakers will then be able to relax: they no longer need to correct errors. Athletes will also benefit: the possibility of an accidental referee’s mistake will disappear.
Ideally, everyone will get what they want: the employee is an interesting and suitable occupation for his psych type. An employer is a more productive employee. Who is this employee? Last year, CCS Insight predicted that by 2020, adaptability and flexibility will become the main skills. In turn, by 2021, employee satisfaction will become critical to the success and profitability of large organizations. Does this apply to all employees? Not a fact, while analysts point primarily to the IT sector, but it is possible that from there it will spread to other industries.
Certainly not humanoid – a vacuum cleaner, a voice assistant or a security system. Already now, such systems (mainly of Chinese production) can be purchased for little money even in Ukraine, which is used by some users, creating their own sets of “smart home”.
This will lead to the emergence of new gadgets, help control robots (cars and smart home elements) and make the life of people with disabilities more fulfilling.
The Chinese are digging deeper than Western countries, using services like Tencent and Alibaba for online payments, reservations and sales. In addition, digital services are starting to be used instead of identity cards, and the country uses this data in its social reputation system and creates a citizen rating that affects hiring, issuing loans, and so on. In the future, the gap between the “digital state” of the PRC and, say, the European market, which advocates the protection of personal data, will only widen. However, in 2020 there will be a second nation that will adopt a social credit system similar to the Chinese one. Focusing on benefits for good citizens.
In 2017, the duration was 3 hours per day. Growth will be driven by next-generation networks, advances in artificial intelligence technology, and improved targeting for news, video and ads. The counterbalance will be “digital detox”: there are more and more people who limit the time spent on the phone.
In an effort to become an integral part of people’s lives, the social network collects data like ID numbers, social security numbers, and so on. This will allow the correct identification of users and the provision of digital services to them. In fact, it turned into a Center for the provision of administrative services. Something similar is actually happening in China. This is hard to imagine, but in another of their predictions, analysts say that over the next five years, top managers of large tech companies will begin to participate in elections in several countries in order to gain influence on what is happening in politics.
There are more than one and a half billion dogs and cats in the world, and this is a huge market for manufacturers of various devices. People want to track their pets, and data rates are becoming more loyal. Insurance companies (if the animal is insured) and manufacturers of pet food may be interested in such innovations. Plus, a giant like Amazon is entering the pet tracker market. But smart clothes made from smart fabrics with sensors will remain a niche at least until 2025 and will be used only in sports. For the average user, wrist devices (smart watches, fitness trackers) are enough. Moreover, by 2023, most operators will by default offer unlimited Internet in their packages for your devices.
Athletes already have many tests and regular tests, but in the future they will have to record training and body performance data into an online application. The collected data will be analyzed by artificial intelligence, which will catch violators. But those who do not provide data may not be allowed to compete.